COVID-19 Epidemiological Update for April 28, 2022: The slowdown in SARS-CoV-2 transmission is confirmed, with a decline in all indicators
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Published weekly, the epidemiological update on COVID-19 surveillance provides a detailed analysis of the indicators established by Santé publique France and its network of partners to track the progression of the epidemic and inform public policy decisions.
In week 16 (April 18–24, 2022), the decline in the incidence rate (adjusted for the effect of the April 18 holiday) accelerated (-26%), and the positivity rate (28.5%) fell by 3.2 percentage points, though both indicators remained high. The decline in the number of new hospitalizations that began in Week 15 appeared to continue into Week 16, but this trend needs to be confirmed next week. In the overseas territories, the adjusted incidence rate and the rate of new hospital admissions remained very high in Réunion. As of April 25, 3.3% of those aged 60–79 and 13.2% of those aged 80 and older had received a second booster dose. While the latest CoviPrev survey shows a sharp decline in the consistent use of preventive measures since February, maintaining them remains essential to protect the most vulnerable in the current context of ongoing circulation of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza viruses. At the same time, vaccination efforts must continue, particularly for the second booster dose
among the oldest individuals, which is well-accepted among those who have already received a first dose, according to the CoviPrev survey. Adherence to other recommended measures also remains essential in the event of symptoms, a positive test, or exposure to a high-risk contact.
Continued Decline in Incidence Rate
Nationally, the adjusted incidence rate (to account for the April 18 holiday) fell sharply in week 16 (-26% compared to week 15) and dropped below the threshold of 1,000 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. This trend was observed across all age groups and was once again particularly pronounced among those under 20, with an incidence rate below 500. In contrast, this indicator remained above 1,000 in most other age groups, reaching 1,163 (-20%) among those aged 70–79 and 1,151 (-18%) among those aged 90 and older. The adjusted
testing rate also decreased (-17%), particularly among those aged 0–9 (-33%) and 10–19 (-23%). It remained highest among those aged 90 and older (4,758, -8%). After five weeks of increases and one week of stabilization, the positivity rate fell by 3.2 percentage points but remained high (28.5%). It decreased across all age groups, ranging from a 1.8-point drop (26.4%) among those aged 20–29 to a 5.5-point drop (19.7%) among those aged 10–19. It remained highest among those aged 50–59 (33.0%).
In mainland France, the adjusted incidence rate decreased across all regions. Only Corsica maintained a rate above 1,000, and the lowest rate was observed in Île-de-France. The adjusted testing rate, which was down in all regions, was highest in Corsica. The positivity rate also decreased across the country, particularly sharply in Île-de-France and Occitanie. In the overseas territories, the adjusted incidence rate remained very high in Réunion and was still high in Guadeloupe and Martinique.
Downward trend in the number of new hospital admissions, but indicators remain high
Nationally, the number of new hospitalizations (7,989, -21%) and new admissions to intensive care (832, -15%) remained high in week 16. These downward trends will need to be confirmed after data consolidation in the coming days, as consolidated indicators for Week 15 showed a slight decrease in hospitalizations (-6%), but admissions to intensive care units were still rising slightly (+5%). In Week 16, the number of deaths in hospitals and long-term care facilities stood at 806 (-6%, unconsolidated data). The excess mortality from all causes observed between weeks 12 and 15 mainly concerned those aged 65–84, as well as those aged 85 and older in weeks 14 and 15.
In mainland France, rates of new hospitalizations were highest in Bourgogne-Franche-Comté and Normandy. Rates of new admissions to intensive care were rising in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes. In the overseas territories, the rate of new hospitalizations remained very high in Réunion.
Almost exclusive circulation of the BA.2 sublineage of the Omicron variant
Sequencing data confirm the ubiquity of Omicron in France. In mainland France, it accounted for 100% of interpretable sequences in the Flash S15 survey (April 11) and 99.9% in the Flash S14 survey (April 4). In the overseas departments and regions (DROM), Omicron has been the only variant detected since Flash S06-2022 (02/07). These data illustrate the near-exclusive circulation of Omicron throughout the entire territory.
The XD recombinant has been classified as a variant under monitoring (VUM) since the variant risk analysis of 03/23/2022, due to its genetic characteristics derived from the parent variants of concern (VOCs) (Delta AY.4 and Omicron BA.1). It accounts for less than 0.1% of interpretable sequences from Flash surveys S01 (01/03) through S14 (04/04), and was not detected during Flash survey S15. More information is available in the variant risk assessment dated 04/20/2022.
SARS-CoV-2 Recombinants: Where Do They Come From, and Are They a Cause for Concern?
Since its emergence, the SARS-CoV-2 virus has evolved, leading to the emergence of different variants (circulation of SARS-CoV-2 variants). When two variants circulate at the same time, some people may become infected with both variants simultaneously. These co-infections can lead to recombination, meaning the exchange of genetic material between the two variants. The recombinant resulting from this event therefore has a “chimeric” genome, which corresponds in part to that of the first variant and in part to that of the second variant.
Recombination is common in SARS-CoV-2, and its public health significance depends on the similarity of characteristics (transmissibility, pathogenicity, immune escape) between the two parental variants:
If they have different characteristics, such as Delta and Omicron, enhanced surveillance is essential to determine the characteristics of the recombinant (transmissibility, pathogenicity, immune escape) that could alter the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic. This is then a signal to be taken into account, for which an adjustment of public health measures could be considered.
The more similar the parental variants are, the lower the probability that a recombinant will have different characteristics. The detection of such recombinants is essentially an illustration of high-quality genomic surveillance, which allows for the identification of complex signals at low frequency levels.
In France, between December 2021 and January 2022, the co-circulation of Delta and Omicron was associated with the emergence of the XD recombinant. As soon as the first signs of its emergence appeared, the mobilization of various partners within the EMERGEN consortium (co-led by Santé publique France and ANRS|MIE) enabled a rapid investigation into the characteristics of the XD recombinant and an assessment of its public health impact. Today, this
recombinant is detected at very low levels in France, suggesting that this variant lacks a competitive advantage over Omicron BA.2. Other Delta/Omicron recombinants, named XF and XS, have emerged in other countries under similar circumstances.
Since early 2022, the Omicron sublineages BA.1 and BA.2 have in turn co-circulated and given rise to recombinants. These recombinants include XE and XL, which have been detected in France, as well as XG, XH, XJ, XK, XM, XN, XP, XQ, XR, XT, and XU. These recombinants are not a cause for concern, but surveillance of them continues.
Not all variants, including recombinants, share similar characteristics, and not all are of concern. Risk assessments conducted by Santé publique France and the National Reference Center (CNR) for Respiratory Viruses combine data available in France and internationally with the aim of identifying, as early as possible, which variants are of concern.
More than 13% of people aged 80 and older have received a second booster dose
As of April 25, 2022, the estimated vaccination coverage in the general population was 79.6% for a complete primary vaccination series and 59.0% for the booster dose. Vaccination coverage for the booster dose was 73.7% among those aged 18 and older and 83.7% among those aged 65 and older. In addition, 9.6% of children aged 10 to 11 had received a first vaccine dose (3.2% for those aged 5 to 9). Among those aged 60–79, 3.3% had received a second booster dose, and 32.0% of those eligible had actually received it. Among those aged 80 and older, vaccination coverage for the second booster dose was 13.2%, and 19.9% of those eligible as of that date had received it.
Data on vaccination coverage by department, as well as data on the second booster dose among those aged 60 and older and among residents of nursing homes or long-term care facilities, are published on Géodes.
Adherence to COVID-19 Prevention Measures
During Wave 33 of the CoviPrev survey (April 8–15, 2022), following two consecutive months of increases through January 2022 and stabilization in February, a decline was observed in the consistent adoption of preventive measures, particularly mask-wearing (42% compared to 71% in February). Regarding vaccination uptake, 79% of respondents had received a COVID-19 booster shot or intended to receive one. Additionally, 68% of respondents who had already received a first booster shot were in favor of a second dose (77% among those aged 60 and older). Parents’ support for vaccinating their children aged 5–11 has remained stable at a low level since January 2022: 30% stated they did not want to vaccinate their child because the child had already had COVID-19. Furthermore, according to data provided by respondents, 4% of positive Covid-19 tests among adults were from self-tests, not confirmed by a PCR or antigen test.
More information: Update on Adherence to Prevention Measures (CoviPrev Wave 33)
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28 April 2022
COVID-19: Epidemiological Update for April 28, 2022
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